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Afghanistan Pakistan Cross Border Conflict: An Assessment April 06
Despite multiple mediation multilateral, bilateral at the diplomatic and political level, Afghanistan Pakistan cross border conflict continues with occasional spurge and a breakthrough appears unlikely given entrenched positions by both sides.
Security Risks Research
Apr 73 min read


South Asia Prepares for Multiple Disruptions from Gulf War 3.0
Here is how countries in South Asia - India, Bangladesh, Bhutan, Maldives, Myanmar, Nepal, Pakistan and Sri Lanka are preparing for a medium to long term crisis replicating recent disruptions such as COVID 19 as of March 22.
Security Risks Monitor
Mar 236 min read


TRAC Report Lashkar‑e‑Taiba (LeT)’s Expanding Maritime Capabilities and Threat to India’s Maritime Domain
Ports, naval facilities, energy infrastructure, and waterfront tourist districts would be particularly vulnerable due to their visibility and limited shoreline defences.
Security Risks Monitor
Mar 93 min read
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![War in West Asia [Middle East], A Criticality for South Asia](https://static.wixstatic.com/media/e1b29c_e990a0e238a44543a602446dee5bf537~mv2.png/v1/fill/w_292,h_219,fp_0.50_0.50,q_95,enc_avif,quality_auto/e1b29c_e990a0e238a44543a602446dee5bf537~mv2.webp)
War in West Asia [Middle East], A Criticality for South Asia
As the United States and Israel strikes on Iran enters the fifth day with no signs of any pull back by either side, the defining trends is the decapitating attack on Iran’s Supreme Authority Ayatollah Ali Khamanei. The strike was supposed to cripple the regime but Iran retaliated spraying missiles and drones across multiple locations in West Asia [Middle East]. With a war escalating in time and space, there is a noticeable alarm in South Asia. This is understandable given the
rkbhonsle
Mar 33 min read


No Easy Options for Pakistan in Afghanistan
Taliban MLRS Source Bakhtar New Agency What a fall there has been for Pakistan from the former ISI Chief presently incarcerated Lt Gen Faiz Hameed landing in Kabul sipping tea in the Serena Hotel in August 2021 to the Air Force bombing the Afghan capital. This was inevitable given a misreading of Afghan political psyche or history. The Afghans seek self respect particularly the Pashtuns and subsumes other proclivities, that of national independence perhaps all ethnicities.
rkbhonsle
Feb 283 min read


Donroe Doctrine: An Opportunity for India
Source White House Pool Photograph from Wikipedia The US Donroe Doctrine implies a possible contestation with China in the long term in the spheres of economic influence globally, here is how India can exploit this as an opportunity to expand national interests. The “Donroe,” Doctrine has taken the world by storm as US Special Forces and the Central Intelligence Agency [CIA] took over the Presidential Palace in Caracas, Venezuela on the early morning of January 03 to whisk aw
rkbhonsle
Jan 74 min read


TRAC Analysis of ISK Threat in Afghanistan, Pakistan
In a weekly analysis of terorist threats across the World TRAC has provided an Insight into the Arrest of Islamic State Khurasan (ISK) Spokesman Sultan Aziz Azzam by Pakistan authorities as outlined below On 16 May 2025, Pakistani authorities conducted a high-profile counterterrorism operation that resulted in the arrest of Sultan Aziz Azzam, the official spokesperson of Islamic State Khorasan Province (ISK). The operation was led by Pakistan’s Inter-Services Intelligence
Security Risks Monitor
Dec 25, 20254 min read


U.S. NSS 2025: Decoupling from South Asia Opportunities and Risks
One of the salient features of the ‘America First, ‘United States National Security Strategy 2025 [ PDF ]is the virtual disregard of the South Asian region, which had been a focus in the past, including in the NSS issued by the first administration under President Donald Trump. There are justified concerns over what is seen as overlooking an important sub-regional complex, which has the potential for conflagration, including the presence of two nuclear-weapon states – India a
rkbhonsle
Dec 18, 20254 min read


Geopolitical Risks Update 22 November 2025
Representative Image Wix AI 22 November The Trump Peace Plan for Ending Ukraine War Risks The basic flaw of the Plan as it is a sweeping attempt to equate the aggressor and the victim while emasculating not just Ukraine but also European Union and NATO – which has held peace on the Continent so far through the powerful shield of deterrence. Yet NATO or the EU members have not been consulted with the US possibly acting as an arbitrator on their behalf without their knowing. I
Security Risks Monitor
Nov 22, 20253 min read


IMF Report Identifies Persistent Instability Risks for Pakistan
IMF Graph Showing Remarkable fluctustion in Pakistan's GDP over the Years Elitocracy, corruption, lack of accountability and marginalisation of the under class through persistent neglect by privileged entities bodes ill for stability in Pakistan ahead as the military has once again captured de jure state power. The International Monetary Fund (IMF) Report on Governance and Corruption Diagnostic Assessment (GCDA), has highlighted long term risks for Pakistan which is restrain
Security Risks Monitor
Nov 21, 20253 min read
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